Oct 9, 2010

Week 5 Picks

What kind of celebrity sends naked pictures of themselves to people? Oh yeah, professional athletes. First Santonio Holmes, then Greg Oden, now the rumor of...Brett Favre? Aw, thats like granny porn. Just kidding, but seriously, on to what really matters...

Denver (+7) over BALTIMORE

I like the Ravens to win this one but Denver has been better than I’ve been giving them credit for. Although he may not do it Sunday, Kyle Orton’s been tearing it up and oddly enough he has some good receiving threats in career underachievers Jabar Gaffney, Eddie Royal and Brandon Lloyd. The Ravens are riding high after beating the Steeler’s and Joe Flacco is 5-0 in his career against AFC West opponents. Chalk up another one Flacco.

Jacksonville (+1.5) over BUFFALO

How could the Bills be favorite’s in any game they play this year? This team literally has nothing going for them, they’re dead last in the league in points allowed and 25th in points scored. I know the Jags aren’t anything to write home about but they’re two losses have come to the Chargers on the road and Michael Vick, who was playing MVP football until he went down last week. I know it’s a low spread but the Bills shouldn’t be beating anybody, anytime soon.

INDIANAPOLIS (-7) over Kansas City

Lots of speculation heading into this game. Are the Colts still an AFC powerhouse? Are the Chiefs as good as their undefeated record? After losing on a 59-yard field goal last week I can’t see the Colts dropping two straight, especially when their upcoming schedule looks like @ Washington, Houston, @ Philadelphia, Cincinnati, @ New England, San Diego, Dallas, @ Tennessee. I’m sorry for giving you the Colts schedule in full but you get my drift. This is a must win for Indy and Peyton.

St. Louis (+3) over DETROIT

My Rams hate has come to a halt after wins over Washington and pretender Seattle. Bradford’s looking better every game and Steven Jackson’s healthier than he was last week, when he still had 25 touches. I like the Rams pass rush against Shaun Hill, and if the defense hasn’t given up more than 17 points in a game why should they against the winless Lions? This has to be the game Lions fans have been pumped up for, but every team that’s underestimated the Rams this season has been unpleasantly surprised. I’m taking the Rams to cover, maybe even win.

Atlanta (-3) over CLEVELAND

Still hate the Browns even after beating the Bengals. Atlanta toughed out a big win against the Niners week 4, and showed me that they’re a really good team. I know, how does it make sense that a team that only led for 80 seconds of a game is a really good team? San Francisco didn’t score after they recovered a punt block for a touchdown with over four minutes to go in the FIRST QUARTER! And above that, good teams find a way to win games, just like bad teams find ways to lose them. Nate Clements would have gotten down after picking off Matt Ryan with under two minutes and the game seemingly wrapped up in the fourth quarter, but he didn’t, and Roddy White made a hustle play to get that ball back, the really good team won, the bad team lost. If San Francisco is bad, the Browns are horrible and will lose by more than 3 points to one of the NFC’s best.

Tampa Bay (+6.5) over CINCINNATI

I think the Bengals will bounce back from their disappointing loss to the Browns to beat the Bucs at home, but I think this game will be a shootout. The Bucs are definitely on the come up, and the Bengals look like they aren’t quite a playoff team. Not to say the Bucs are better than the Bengals, because they’re definitely not better than more than about five teams or so, but the Bengals need to have a statement game Sunday and they won’t because they’re not that good.

CAROLINA (-3) over Chicago

Home game for the Panthers against Todd Collins, I like it. Not to say that Todd Collins is incapable, but I don’t see the Bears offense functioning as highly with Jay Cutler out. Then again, maybe this is Chicago’s chance to see how awful Cutler really is and Todd Collins chance to head a team. Ha-Ha, just kidding…sorta.

WASHINGTON (+2.5) over Green Bay

Running game, running game....where are you? Sorry, I was just channeling my inner Mike McCarthy. Although the one dimension of the Packers offense is great, the Packers offense has been very one-dimensional without Ryan Grant, and I don’t know that Aaron Rodgers has enough to beat a good Redskins defense. I never thought the Redskins would be so excited to lose Clinton Portis for a few games but all I’m hearing is that Ryan Torain is perfect for the Redskins offense, especially against the 24th ranked rush-defense of the Packers. Coach Mike Shanahan on his new back “he’s a top back in the National Football League. There’s no question about it.” If anyone knows backs it’s that guy.

HOUSTON (-3) over NY Giants

It’s hard to pick against the Giants especially after blowing up the Bears the way they did Sunday night. I just don’t like their chances against such a complete offense. Arian Foster isn’t slowing down, and has proven that he doesn’t only bruise, but he catches passes. This is a big game for both teams, and if the Giants show up, will be one of the best of the weekend.

New Orleans (-7) over Arizona

I know you don’t need to go to a big program to be a starting quarterback in the NFL, but can Max Hall really be a starting quarterback in the NFL? No undrafted quarterback has started a game in the first five weeks of their rookie season since 1987 when replacement players were used. And no BYU quarterback has had any success since Steve Young! Arizona’s line stinks, and Hall is in for hell going from playing Utah State and Wyoming to the Superbowl defending Saints. Saints win big.

San Diego (-6) over OAKLAND

No McFadden for Oakland, doesn’t really matter. Yet again the Raiders aren’t formidable and their best chance of being in games is hoping their opponents take them lightly. Rivers isn’t afraid of Asomugha and Mike Tolbert has emerged as a legit back. Bruce Gradkowski has filled up the stat sheets, we’ll see how he looks against the fourth ranked pass defense in football Sunday. The Raiders have been pretty good for a cover but I don’t like them this week.

Tennessee (+7) over DALLAS

I don’t know who’s going to win this game, and I’m eager to see what the Cowboys look like coming of their bye, but I just don’t think the Titans can lose this game by seven points. I don’t feel I need more analysis for this one, just don’t like the Titans losing big against a team that doesn’t like to run the ball. They reportedly are game-planning to get Felix Jones more touches, I’ll believe it when I see it.

SAN FRANCISCO (-3) over Philadelphia

This is a pretty tough one. I know I said last week if the Niners don’t win or cover I won’t pick them again, and while they blew getting their first win, they sure did cover. This game is a who do you believe in more game, Kevin Kolb, who couldn’t hit water if he fell out of a boat last week against the Redskins, or San Francisco to get their first win even though they legitimately look like one of the worst teams in football. I don’t want to pick either of these teams, but the Eagles offense has looked worse than JV with Kolb this year and the Niners NEED this one.

NY JETS (-4) over Minnesota

I am so pumped up for this one. How could anyone like the Vikings? Brett Favre’s doing a pretty good job completing passes this year, to both teams! Brett has a 61.9 completion percentage, but a 2:6 touchdown to interception ratio. Revis or not, I love the Jets to get good pressure on Favre and force some turnovers. Unless Favre has really gotten himself together with the bye week and the addition of Randy Moss, I figure Rex Ryan has to be excited to unleash his defense the way the New York media is unleashing their reporters on the 40-year old in the hot seat. Favre is pretty good for tuning out everything off the field when he plays, be he’s not going to be able to tune out the Jets pass rush. Oh yeah, the returns of Revis, Holmes, and Pace = JETS JETS JETS!

Last week 7-7 (not very good)

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